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Debt Risk Basics

Purpose: identify dangerous debt early, prioritize payoff, and avoid losing critical assets during stress periods.

Do This First (20 Minutes)

  1. List every debt with balance, APR, minimum payment, and collateral risk.
  2. Mark debts tied to essentials first: housing, vehicle needed for work, critical utilities.
  3. Calculate debt-to-income ratio using gross monthly income.
  4. Choose one payoff method and stick to it for 90 days before changes.

Tools and Materials

Risk Scoring Table

Debt TypeTypical APRDefault ConsequenceRisk Score (1-5)
Mortgage / rent arrearsvariesHousing loss risk5
Auto loan (work vehicle)6 to 18%Repossession risk5
Credit card revolving18 to 35%Compounding interest spiral4
Payday / title loan80 to 400% effectiveRapid debt trap5
Medical payment plan0 to 15%Collections risk3
Family/friend debtvariesRelationship damage3

Warning Thresholds

Decision Table for Payoff Priority

If this happensDo this nowBackup actionVerify
Debt tied to housing/work assetProtect minimum payment firstHardship request same dayNo repossession/eviction trigger
Very high APR debtAttack highest APR after essentialsConsolidate if terms improveMonthly interest declines
Income shockMove to minimum survival budgetFreeze nonessential spending 30 daysAll critical payments current
Collector pressureRequest written validationUse documented payment planAll calls and letters logged

Payoff Methods

If you quit plans easily, snowball may outperform in real life even if avalanche is cheaper on paper.

Common Mistakes and Fixes

Scenario Drills

Drill 1: 25 Percent Income Drop

  1. Cut income line by 25 percent on worksheet.
  2. Re-rank debts by collateral risk and APR.
  3. Draft hardship call script for top 3 lenders.
  4. Goal: protect housing and transport with no new high-interest debt.

Drill 2: Payday Loan Offer Pressure

  1. Simulate urgent $400 need.
  2. Compare payday cost vs 3 alternatives.
  3. Pick lowest total cost path.
  4. Goal: reject predatory option in all rounds.

Printable Debt Checklist

Safety note: avoid signing new debt contracts when exhausted or pressured. Sleep on it and re-check total repayment cost.
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